StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Xinyu Wang v Daria Kasatkina

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 00:30 UTC

Slutresultat: Xinyu Wang 1–2 Daria Kasatkina

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Xinyu Wang (Hemma)

Prognos 49.89%2.00rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -1.13%
Kelly -2.30%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.96

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.41%49.91%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.37%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Daria Kasatkina (Borta)

Prognos 50.11%2.00rättvist odds
EV -1.29%
Fördel -0.655%
Kelly -1.33%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.97

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.93%50.09%50.00%51.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.811.881.881.9755.25%53.20%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Xinyu Wang (Hemma): 49.89%; Daria Kasatkina (Borta): 50.11%. För Daria Kasatkina (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.00. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.97, med väntevärdet -1.29%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 00:09
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:28
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:10
ReBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -1.29%E -0.655%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 09:05
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -9.31%E -5.14%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 04:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 05:54
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 12:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:54
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 09:04
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:19
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 00:59
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:05
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 00:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:24
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 03:39
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:50
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.20%E -3.87%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 00:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 00:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-08-03 23:50
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-04 00:25
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-08-04 00:25