Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang v Daria Kasatkina

Início: 2026-08-04 00:30 UTC

Final: Xinyu Wang 1–2 Daria Kasatkina

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Previsão 49.89%2.00odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -2.30%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.41%49.91%50.00%51.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.911.9654.64%52.37%52.36%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Daria Kasatkina (Visitante)

Previsão 50.11%2.00odd justa
EV -1.29%
Vantagem -0.655%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.93%50.09%50.00%51.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.881.881.9755.25%53.20%53.19%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Xinyu Wang (Local): 49.89%; Daria Kasatkina (Visitante): 50.11%. Para Daria Kasatkina (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.00. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.97, com valor esperado de -1.29%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 00:09
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-03 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:28
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:10
ReBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.36%EV -1.29%E -0.655%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-03 09:05
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 19:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -9.31%E -5.14%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 04:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 05:54
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 12:49
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 03:54
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 13:54
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:30
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 22:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 09:04
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:19
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.80%E -3.09%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 21:30
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 00:59
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:05
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.80%E -1.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.29%E -1.71%K -3.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:05
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 00:29
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:24
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 03:39
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 19:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:05
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:50
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.31%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -7.20%E -3.87%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:29
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 00:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.80%E -2.53%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 00:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 00:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 00:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-04 00:20
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-08-03 23:50
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-08-04 00:25
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%2.6%2026-08-04 00:25