Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 11.19
assuming max odds 1.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 10.13%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 89.87%. For Viktorija Golubic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.87. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.39%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.19I 8.94%NM 8.65%EV +13.39%E +1.20%K +1.31%G +0.176% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +11.47%E +1.04%K +1.15%G +0.132% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV +7.42%E +0.700%K +0.772%G +0.057% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +6.40%E +0.610%K +0.674%G +0.043% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-06 15:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +1.34%E +0.134%K +0.148%G +0.002% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -8.34%E -8.17%K -416.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 9.64I 10.37%NM 9.99%EV -2.31%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.01%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 9.64I 10.37%NM 9.99%EV -2.31%E -0.240%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.01%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.73%E -0.393%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -3.73%E -0.393%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.73%E -0.393%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.73%E -0.393%K -0.439%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 13:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.45I 10.58%NM 10.09%EV -4.24%E -0.448%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.91%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.23%EV -5.76%E -0.619%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.77%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -6.26%E -0.677%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.33%EV -6.77%E -0.736%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.67%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV -7.78%E -0.855%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 09:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-06 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.80%E -0.978%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV -11.84%E -1.36%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.86%E -1.63%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.86%E -1.63%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.64%E -5.37%K -112.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 16:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.86%E -1.63%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-06 09:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -14.17%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -14.17%E -1.67%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.08%EV -15.38%E -1.84%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.92%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -16.40%E -1.99%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -18.93%E -2.37%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.94%E -2.73%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -18.93%E -2.37%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.54%E -6.29%K -163.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -22.68%E -2.97%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -2.05%E -1.88%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 16:33 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -24.00%E -3.20%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.84%E -3.59%K -54.90%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-06 16:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -29.07%E -4.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -1.15%E -1.04%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -29.07%E -4.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -2.05%E -1.88%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -29.07%E -4.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.94%E -2.73%K -36.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-06 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.07%E -4.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-06 16:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -29.07%E -4.15%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.74%E -4.47%K -79.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-06 16:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 1.1% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.32% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 1.3% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.33% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.67% | 2.1% | 2026-08-06 16:35 |