Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic v Iga Swiatek

2026-08-07 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prediction 10.92%9.15fair odd
EV +16.89%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.294%

assuming max odds 10.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.94%11.19%11.09%14.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.108.458.5010.7016.39%11.84%11.76%9.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Visit)

Prediction 89.08%1.12fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -20.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.43%88.81%88.91%91.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.061.061.1096.15%94.53%94.34%90.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 10.92%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 89.08%. For Viktorija Golubic (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.15. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.70, producing a positive expected value of +16.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings10.70I 9.35%NM 8.94%EV +16.89%E +1.58%K +1.74%G +0.294%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.06%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 00:10
1xBet10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV +10.34%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.117%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 00:10
FanDuel9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV +4.88%E +0.508%K +0.567%G +0.028%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.97%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -66.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:39
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.78%E +0.398%K +0.445%G +0.017%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:39
Sky Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +3.78%E +0.398%K +0.445%G +0.017%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 21:39
Marathon Bet9.30I 10.75%NM 10.14%EV +1.60%E +0.172%K +0.193%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.86%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 00:10
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -1.68%E -0.186%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -66.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 23:15
PointsBet (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -1.68%E -0.186%K -0.210%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:30
GTbets8.90I 11.24%NM 11.00%EV -2.77%E -0.311%K -0.351%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.00%EV -2.02%E -1.83%K -20.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:14
Bovada8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -4.41%E -0.504%K -0.569%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -4.69%E -4.38%K -66.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:44
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.14%E -0.840%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:30
Winamax (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.14%E -0.840%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:45
theScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -7.14%E -0.840%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:15
NordicBet8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.47%E -0.882%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:30
Betsson8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%EV -7.47%E -0.882%K -1.000%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:35
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -10.42%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.60%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 21:44
betfred_uk8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -12.60%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.58%E -5.26%K -93.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 23:15
SportsBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -12.60%E -1.58%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 21:19
LeoVegas7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV -14.79%E -1.90%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 00:15
Betclic (FR)6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -25.71%E -3.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.62%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 00:14
ReBet6.80I 14.71%NM 13.38%EV -25.71%E -3.78%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 86.62%EV -6.47%E -6.16%K -129.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 00:15
Winamax (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.27%EV -31.72%E -5.08%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.73%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-04 21:45
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.57%EV -33.36%E -5.47%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.43%EV -7.36%E -7.08%K -184.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-05 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%6.5%2026-08-04 21:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%6.5%2026-08-04 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.04%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.96%6.5%2026-08-04 21:30
Novig9.52I 10.50%NM 9.85%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.15%6.7%2026-08-05 00:25
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 14.77%1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%12.8%2026-08-04 21:45