Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.37
assuming max odds 1.67
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Talia Gibson (Local): 41.34%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit): 58.66%. For Talia Gibson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.01%E -0.850%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.81%E -2.32%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.84%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -4.49%E -1.95%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 16:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 05:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 10:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 16:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 10:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 10:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.91%E -2.13%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 10:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.32%E -2.32%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 11:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -5.32%E -2.32%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.32%E -2.32%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 09:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.15%E -2.71%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.56%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -6.56%E -2.90%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 03:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.22%E -1.95%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 11:55 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.81%E -2.32%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 10:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 05:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 10:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 23:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 03:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 10:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 23:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.56%E -3.46%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-03 16:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.32%E -4.64%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 09:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 10:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.91%E -5.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-03 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.05%E -1.22%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.98%E -3.07%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-03 10:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 10:08 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.15%E -3.84%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 03:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -11.11%E -5.17%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -4.39%E -2.69%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-03 16:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-08-03 16:30 |
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