Idioma:Español
Rebecca Sramkova v Diana Shnaider
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rebecca Sramkova (Local)
Predicción 21.73%4.60momio equitativo
EV +4.31%
Ventaja +0.899%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.049%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.00%21.95%21.71%24.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.704.254.284.8027.03%23.53%23.39%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Diana Shnaider (Visitante)
Predicción 78.27%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -2.38%
Kelly -12.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.20%78.05%78.29%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.161.211.211.2486.21%82.70%82.64%80.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rebecca Sramkova (Local): 21.73%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 78.27%. Para Rebecca Sramkova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.60. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.31%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV +4.31%E +0.899%K +1.14%G +0.049% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 05:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +0.185%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +0.185%E +0.040%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.17%EV -0.467%E -0.102%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.83%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 18:05 |
| 1xBet | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.34%E -0.294%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -1.99%E -0.441%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:04 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 18:13 |
| Coolbet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Dabble (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| BetUS | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.43%E -7.20%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.43%E -7.20%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.43%E -7.20%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.43%E -7.20%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.21%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -9.21%E -7.94%K -57.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -3.29%E -0.740%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 10:59 |
| LeoVegas | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.29%E -0.740%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.38%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 11:14 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.38%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.38%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.38%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.38%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:13 |
| PlayUp | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.38%E -0.995%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| betfred_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 23:05 |
| betano_uk | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 06:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 06:19 |
| BetMGM | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.56%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.44%EV -6.86%E -5.77%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 05:19 |
| theScore Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 17:05 |
| SportsBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Fliff | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -7.64%E -6.48%K -42.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| BetAnything | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.95%E -2.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 17:30 |
| Betsson | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 18:14 |
| Caesars | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.73%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.08%E -5.07%K -30.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 06:20 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 06:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -11.99%E -2.96%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -2.95%E -2.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.95%E -2.38%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 03:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Unibet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Casumo | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| betPARX | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -3.73%E -3.03%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.16%E -3.58%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -14.16%E -3.58%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bally Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -15.25%E -3.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -5.30%E -4.38%K -25.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -16.33%E -4.24%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -6.86%E -5.77%K -36.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -18.50%E -4.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-04 17:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -18.50%E -4.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.43%E -7.20%K -49.57%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -19.59%E -5.30%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -4.51%E -3.70%K -20.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Matchbook | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| ProphetX | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.23% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.77% | 1.9% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Novig | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87% | 3.5% | 2026-08-04 18:15 |