Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oleksandra Oliynykova v Karolina Pliskova

Início: 2026-08-03 15:05 UTC

Final: Oleksandra Oliynykova 0–2 Karolina Pliskova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)

Previsão 25.74%3.89odd justa
EV +2.96%
Vantagem +0.740%
Kelly +0.987%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.37%25.88%25.57%28.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.323.643.604.0030.12%27.47%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karolina Pliskova (Visitante)

Previsão 74.26%1.35odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -2.08%
Kelly -8.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.71%74.12%74.43%76.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.291.3181.97%78.07%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 25.74%; Karolina Pliskova (Visitante): 74.26%. Para Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.89. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.96%E +0.740%K +0.987%G +0.029%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 10:50
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.96%E +0.740%K +0.987%G +0.029%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.40%E -7.71%K -42.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 08:09
Pinnacle🎯3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +2.70%E +0.677%K +0.904%G +0.024%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:40
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +0.386%E +0.099%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.386%E +0.099%K +0.133%G +0.001%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.901%E -0.234%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 09:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -3.22%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -3.22%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 15:54
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 11:55
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 05:38
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 05:35
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 14:35
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 15:04
LeoVegas🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 15:04
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 10:55
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 10:55
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 08:09
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.73%E -0.998%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 15:04
DraftKings🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.73%E -0.998%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 10:05
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:35
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.92%E -6.39%K -32.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 15:00
GTbets🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 13:19
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 14:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.72%E -2.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 13:19
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:35
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:34
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 14:05
Dabble (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-02 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.66%E -7.04%K -37.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 15:03
NordicBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 23:04
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
BetUS🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.40%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 15:03
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 05:30
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:40
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 14:35
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 14:34
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 14:34
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 04:35
Betsson🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -14.54%E -4.38%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -2.72%E -2.08%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 15:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-03 14:55
Novig4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-03 15:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-08-03 15:00
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-08-03 14:55