Idioma:Español
Oleksandra Oliynykova v Karolina Pliskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)
Predicción 25.74%3.89momio equitativo
EV +2.96%
Ventaja +0.740%
Kelly +0.987%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%25.88%25.57%28.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.323.643.604.0030.12%27.47%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Karolina Pliskova (Visitante)
Predicción 74.26%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -2.08%
Kelly -8.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.71%74.12%74.43%76.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3181.97%78.07%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 25.74%; Karolina Pliskova (Visitante): 74.26%. Para Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.89. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.96%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +2.96%E +0.740%K +0.987%G +0.029% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-03 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +2.96%E +0.740%K +0.987%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.40%E -7.71%K -42.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 08:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.29%EV +2.70%E +0.677%K +0.904%G +0.024% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.71%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +0.386%E +0.099%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.386%E +0.099%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -0.901%E -0.234%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-03 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -2.19%E -0.576%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 09:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -3.22%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -3.22%E -0.856%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 11:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 05:38 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 05:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.43%E -5.10%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 10:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -3.48%E -0.927%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 08:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.73%E -0.998%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -3.73%E -0.998%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -7.92%E -6.39%K -32.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -6.05%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -2.72%E -2.08%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 14:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.17%E -5.74%K -28.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.34%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.66%E -7.04%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-03 15:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -7.85%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.40%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.46%E -2.66%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 15:03 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 05:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.91%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.95%E -3.86%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.20%E -3.26%K -14.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.69%E -4.48%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -14.54%E -4.38%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -2.72%E -2.08%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-03 15:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-03 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-08-03 14:55 |