Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 23.06%4.34fair odd
EV -0.134%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.040%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%23.17%23.08%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.054.104.3327.40%24.70%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 76.94%1.30fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.49%76.83%76.92%78.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.231.231.2883.33%81.10%81.30%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 23.06%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 76.94%. For Maria Sakkari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -0.134%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.134%E -0.031%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.826%E -0.192%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.826%E -0.192%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.98%E -0.466%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.98%E -0.466%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-07 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.98%E -0.466%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.98%E -0.466%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 23.05%EV -2.21%E -0.521%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.95%EV -2.29%E -1.80%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 23:06 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 21:51 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.13%E -0.746%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -4.29%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.43%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.62%EV -4.52%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.38%EV -1.52%E -1.19%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 08:58 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.36%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.44%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 22:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -7.51%E -1.87%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 23:03 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-07 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 10:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 14:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 13:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.75%E -1.94%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.90%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 23:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.90%E -2.25%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 08:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.05%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-07 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:57 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-07 22:56 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -14.66%E -3.96%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -15.82%E -4.33%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -3.83%E -3.06%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 19:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.88% | 2.7% | 2026-08-07 23:06 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.83% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.17% | 2.8% | 2026-08-07 22:36 |