Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano v Ekaterina Alexandrova

2026-08-05 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local)

Prediction 43.10%2.32fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.09%43.14%43.15%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.2748.78%45.53%45.45%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)

Prediction 56.90%1.76fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.86%56.85%57.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.651.651.6862.50%60.55%60.61%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local): 43.10%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 56.90%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.27, with an expected value of -2.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -2.17%E -0.955%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 06:30
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.03%E -1.35%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 06:30
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:25
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:25
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:25
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
Bally Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:30
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -3.89%E -1.74%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 06:29
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.32%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 07:09
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.75%E -2.15%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 04:30
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -4.75%E -2.15%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 06:35
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 06:44
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:10
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 07:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 05:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 05:30
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 06:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 05:10
Dabble (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 07:05
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 06:35
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.18%E -2.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 04:29
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.63%EV -6.05%E -2.77%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.37%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 06:25
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.34%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.40%E -2.62%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 07:09
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.34%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 07:09
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.34%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 04:28
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.34%E -3.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.82%E -4.83%K -12.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 04:30
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.20%E -3.85%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.68%E -4.07%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 07:09
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.98%K -7.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 07:10
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.49%E -4.52%K -8.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.11%E -3.70%K -9.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 07:09
ReBet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%EV -8.39%E -5.21%K -13.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 07:09
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -11.65%E -5.68%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.47%EV -10.10%E -6.39%K -17.41%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 05:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 43.65%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.35%12.3%2026-08-03 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 54.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 45.23%24.2%2026-08-03 04:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 54.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 45.23%24.2%2026-08-03 06:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 54.77%1.78I 56.18%NM 45.23%24.2%2026-08-03 04:30