Language:English
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local)
Prediction 52.72%1.90fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.85%52.63%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.801.8659.17%55.86%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 47.28%2.11fair odd
EV +3.07%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +2.60%
Growth +0.080%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%47.15%47.37%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1852.63%49.69%50.00%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Local): 52.72%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 47.28%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -9.32%E -5.42%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +3.07%E +1.41%K +2.60%G +0.080% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -9.32%E -5.42%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV +3.07%E +1.41%K +2.60%G +0.080% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -10.91%E -6.45%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +1.66%E +0.770%K +1.44%G +0.024% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.80%E -5.09%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.709%E -0.337%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.80%E -5.09%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.709%E -0.337%K -0.644%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.18%E -0.565%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.65%E -0.795%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -1.65%E -0.795%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.65%E -0.795%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 10:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.02%E -1.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.05%E -2.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.49%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.96%E -2.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -4.96%E -2.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -1.94%E -1.05%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-04 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.00%E -1.63%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.53%E -1.93%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.05%E -2.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 15:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.05%E -2.23%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 10:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.58%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 10:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-04 13:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.80%E -5.09%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.21%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.79%EV -5.91%E -2.97%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-04 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.86%E -3.48%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.86%E -3.48%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-04 13:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 16:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.69%E -3.78%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 13:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-04 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.11%E -2.84%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.17%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 10:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98% | 1.2% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-08-04 16:25 |