Language:English
Lucrezia Stefanini v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lucrezia Stefanini (Local)
Prediction 30.86%3.24fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.087%
Kelly +0.126%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.08%30.72%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.003.2536.36%33.11%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)
Prediction 69.14%1.45fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.92%69.28%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.381.4276.92%72.87%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lucrezia Stefanini (Local): 30.86%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 69.14%. For Lucrezia Stefanini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.284%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.284%E +0.087%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 20:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.284%E +0.087%K +0.126%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -0.024%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -1.26%E -0.393%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -2.49%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.40%EV -2.49%E -0.789%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.60%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.80%E -0.889%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.89%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 20:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 20:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 19:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.34%E -1.40%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.73%E -6.61%K -27.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-02 15:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.77%EV -5.58%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.23%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.27%E -3.85%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.89%E -1.93%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -6.20%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -6.81%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -3.89%E -2.80%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 18:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.20%E -2.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 20:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.04%E -6.04%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 20:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.43%E -2.48%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.11%E -7.78%K -33.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.52%E -3.63%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.58%E -3.32%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -10.82%E -3.75%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -2.51%E -1.78%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.13%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 13:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.13%E -3.87%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.97%E -4.39%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 13:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -1.82%E -1.28%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-02 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -12.06%E -4.23%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -6.66%E -4.93%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 20:57 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.60%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.82%E -1.28%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.60%E -4.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.20%E -2.29%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.14%E -5.51%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.82%E -1.28%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-08-02 20:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.30% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.70% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 21:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97% | 2.8% | 2026-08-02 20:45 |
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