Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.99
assuming max odds 1.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lois Boisson (Local): 49.77%; Antonia Ruzic (Visit): 50.23%. For Lois Boisson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.99, with an expected value of -0.954%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.71%EV -0.954%E -0.479%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.29%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-02 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.45%E -1.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -2.45%E -1.25%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -6.58%E -3.54%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.44%E -1.77%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.07%E -2.68%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 19:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.44%E -2.31%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 12:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 20:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 20:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -4.94%E -2.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -8.59%E -4.72%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.57%E -2.40%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:33 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.57%E -2.96%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.58%E -4.12%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.59%E -5.33%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.93%E -3.14%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 13:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 12:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.70%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.07%E -3.25%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.56%E -1.32%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.06%E -1.59%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 22:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 22:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.92%E -4.28%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.83%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.92%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.06%E -1.05%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.92%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.06%E -2.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 18:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 22:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.92%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.08%E -4.42%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-02 22:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.31%EV -8.92%E -4.87%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.69%EV -10.59%E -5.95%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -3.56%E -1.86%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87% | 0.8% | 2026-08-02 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 21:35 |
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