Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova v Barbora Krejcikova

Início: 2026-08-05 22:04 UTC

Final: Liudmila Samsonova 2–0 Barbora Krejcikova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Previsão 41.22%2.43odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -0.798%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.67%41.24%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.832.292.302.3854.64%43.60%43.48%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)

Previsão 58.78%1.70odd justa
EV +7.57%
Vantagem +4.14%
Kelly +9.12%
Crescimento +0.690%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%58.33%58.76%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.601.8364.52%62.34%62.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 41.22%; Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante): 58.78%. Para Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.70. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.57%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -24.57%E -13.43%K -29.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +7.57%E +4.14%K +9.12%G +0.690%9.3%2026-08-05 21:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 21:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.42%E -1.46%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:20
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-05 21:15
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 21:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 21:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 07:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 07:55
FanDuel🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-05 21:20
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.37%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 21:20
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 16:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 08:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 21:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:32
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 09:45
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 07:59
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 19:05
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 22:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 21:25
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.37%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 21:05
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 21:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 21:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 22:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 07:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:30
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:30
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:04
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 08:49
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 21:25
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 21:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 21:43
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 22:00
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 21:10
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 21:08
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:30
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-05 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-08-05 22:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-08-05 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-05 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-05 22:00
ProphetX◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-08-05 22:00
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-08-05 22:00
Novig◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%2.4%2026-08-05 22:00