Idioma:Español
Liudmila Samsonova v Barbora Krejcikova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Predicción 41.22%2.43momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.798%
Kelly -1.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.67%41.24%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.832.292.302.3854.64%43.60%43.48%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)
Predicción 58.78%1.70momio equitativo
EV +7.57%
Ventaja +4.14%
Kelly +9.12%
Crecimiento +0.690%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%58.33%58.76%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.601.601.8364.52%62.34%62.50%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 41.22%; Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante): 58.78%. Para Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.70. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.57%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -24.57%E -13.43%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +7.57%E +4.14%K +9.12%G +0.690% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.83%E -1.10%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.42%E -1.46%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%EV -2.72%E -1.15%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 21:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-05 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.01%E -1.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 21:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.60%E -2.19%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.55%E -1.52%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.37%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.79%E -2.07%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 08:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:32 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 09:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.77%E -2.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 19:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.36%E -3.33%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.37%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.95%E -3.72%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 07:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -6.54%E -4.11%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -4.37%E -1.89%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 08:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 21:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -5.61%E -2.45%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 21:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -6.43%E -2.83%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV -7.13%E -4.51%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 21:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.90%E -0.798%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.14%E -1.33%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 21:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.26%E -3.23%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.71%E -4.91%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 21:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.32%E -4.24%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -8.30%E -5.32%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.20%E -2.26%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.89%E -5.73%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-08-05 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02% | 0.8% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 22:00 |