Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova v Barbora Krejcikova

2026-08-05 21:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Predicción 37.11%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.626%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.37%37.22%37.04%40.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.502.6543.48%40.19%40.00%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)

Predicción 62.89%1.59momio equitativo
EV -0.005%
Ventaja -0.003%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.59%62.78%62.96%64.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.521.501.5969.44%65.89%66.67%62.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 37.11%; Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante): 62.89%. Para Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.5901. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.5900, con un valor esperado de -0.005%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 21:49
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 21:39
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.66%E -0.626%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.81%E -6.08%K -19.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 13:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -2.40%E -0.913%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:35
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.77%E -1.06%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 14:20
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:55
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:39
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 14:10
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 19:55
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:20
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.51%E -1.35%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 15:00
GTbets2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -3.88%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 21:30
PointsBet (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -4.26%E -1.65%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:30
SportsBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 21:55
1xBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.15%E -2.05%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 22:00
Fanatics2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.04%E -3.34%K -9.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:55
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:54
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:59
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.37%E -2.11%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -6.29%E -4.22%K -12.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 21:55
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -6.11%E -2.42%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 22:00
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -6.48%E -2.57%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 22:00
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.78%E -2.47%K -7.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:55
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 22:25
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:55
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:35
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 21:55
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -7.22%E -2.89%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.55%E -5.14%K -16.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 22:40
ReBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -7.97%E -3.21%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.92%E -4.68%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 21:55
Dabble (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.08%E -3.71%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -2.52%E -1.63%K -4.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:35
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.94%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.41%E -2.90%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:25
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.94%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:55
betano_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.94%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.67%E -3.78%K -11.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 21:53
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.94%E -4.56%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -8.81%E -6.08%K -19.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 21:55
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -0.005%E -0.003%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:30
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -0.634%E -0.401%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:30
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -0.634%E -0.401%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 21:30
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.26%E -0.804%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:30
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -12.79%E -5.44%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -9.44%E -6.55%K -21.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-04 21:55
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -14.65%E -6.37%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -1.89%E -1.21%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 21:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 37.41%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.59%4.4%2026-08-04 23:45
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%4.8%2026-08-05 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%5.8%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%5.8%2026-08-04 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%5.8%2026-08-04 23:20
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%6.2%2026-08-04 23:45