Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee v Amanda Anisimova

Kickoff: 2026-08-04 22:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Prediction 33.09%3.02fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.620%
Kelly +0.918%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%32.98%33.53%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.802.753.0838.46%35.68%36.36%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visit)

Prediction 66.91%1.49fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -5.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%67.02%66.47%69.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.431.441.4675.19%70.04%69.44%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanlana Tararudee (Local): 33.09%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 66.91%. For Lanlana Tararudee (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.16%EV +1.91%E +0.620%K +0.918%G +0.018%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.84%EV -11.01%E -8.28%K -33.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 19:45
PointsBet (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +0.916%E +0.300%K +0.447%G +0.004%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -7.66%E -5.55%K -20.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:59
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.738%E -0.246%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.98%E -3.51%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 20:44
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.738%E -0.246%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.32%E -4.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 19:39
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.738%E -0.246%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.32%E -4.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -2.39%E -0.811%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -9.00%E -6.62%K -25.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 20:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.71%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 20:00
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -2.98%E -2.05%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:30
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -7.02%E -2.50%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -4.31%E -3.02%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.98%E -2.05%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:45
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.98%E -2.05%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:44
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.98%E -2.05%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:44
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.65%E -2.53%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:45
betano_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.32%E -4.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 20:50
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.32%E -4.52%K -15.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 20:49
Dabble (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -2.31%E -1.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 20:00
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.98%E -2.05%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 19:35
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.98%E -3.51%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 19:45
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -13.97%E -5.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -2.31%E -1.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-08-04 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-08-04 22:10