Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamilla Rakhimova v Venus Williams

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 18:22 UTC

Final: Kamilla Rakhimova 2–0 Venus Williams

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kamilla Rakhimova (Local)

Prediction 77.28%1.29fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -10.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%77.30%77.35%78.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.231.231.2686.21%81.54%81.30%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Venus Williams (Visit)

Prediction 22.72%4.40fair odd
EV +4.30%
Edge +0.937%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.052%

assuming max odds 4.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%22.70%22.65%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.204.5926.67%24.22%23.81%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 77.28%; Venus Williams (Visit): 22.72%. For Venus Williams (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.87%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 21.13%EV +4.30%E +0.937%K +1.20%G +0.052%3.1%2026-08-02 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +1.12%E +0.252%K +0.324%G +0.004%4.4%2026-08-02 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 15:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.59%E -8.19%K -56.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -0.017%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 15:35
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%EV -3.40%E -2.72%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%EV -1.15%E -0.265%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 18:10
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -8.81%E -7.47%K -48.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -2.29%E -0.532%K -0.694%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 18:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -2.74%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.54%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.46%EV -2.74%E -0.641%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 15:55
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.43%E -0.806%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.43%E -0.806%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 14:45
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.43%E -0.806%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 18:14
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.43%E -0.806%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.43%E -0.806%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 14:50
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 14:50
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:44
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
Casumo🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
TABtouch🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:28
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:45
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 17:05
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.36%EV -10.36%E -8.93%K -64.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.56%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 16:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.70%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.70%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 15:29
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -7.97%E -1.97%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:29
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.40%E -2.72%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:18
Dabble (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.40%E -2.72%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.95%E -4.02%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:40
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:45
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:45
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:45
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 18:19
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:49
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.27%E -6.06%K -36.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.11%E -2.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.18%E -3.37%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -11.38%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.63%E -2.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.40%E -2.72%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.79%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.79%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:49
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.72%E -4.69%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.79%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%0.6%2026-08-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-08-02 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-08-02 17:15
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%2.8%2026-08-02 18:20
Novig1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92%2.8%2026-08-02 18:20

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