Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 1.54
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kamilla Rakhimova (Local): 35.44%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 64.56%. For Katerina Siniakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.54, with an expected value of -0.570%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -0.781%E -0.279%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -3.80%E -2.55%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 21:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.781%E -0.279%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.55%E -0.928%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-04 08:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.55%E -0.928%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.55%E -0.928%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.55%E -0.928%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.55%E -0.928%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.61%E -6.86%K -24.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -2.91%E -1.06%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.54%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 12:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.32%E -1.60%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -1.22%E -0.795%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -5.74%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 13:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-04 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-04 19:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -6.10%E -2.30%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.32%E -5.86%K -19.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 07:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 18:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.81%E -2.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-04 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -5.09%E -3.46%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.16%E -2.73%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -2.51%E -1.66%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-03 05:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.87%E -3.03%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.03%E -4.88%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-03 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -8.58%E -3.32%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -3.15%E -2.10%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.570%E -0.370%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.22%E -0.795%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.22%E -0.795%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.22%E -0.795%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.22%E -0.795%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.44%E -3.00%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 21:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.41%E -4.56%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.38%E -4.40%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-04 21:48 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37% | 0.2% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-04 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 0.7% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.1% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |