Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Magda Linette

Início: 2026-08-05 18:34 UTC

Final: Iva Jović 2–0 Magda Linette

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Previsão 77.09%1.30odd justa
EV -3.63%
Vantagem -2.91%
Kelly -14.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.45%77.11%77.02%78.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.171.231.231.2585.47%81.22%81.30%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Previsão 22.91%4.37odd justa
EV +3.08%
Vantagem +0.684%
Kelly +0.880%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.01%22.89%22.98%24.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.094.004.5026.67%24.44%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Iva Jović (Local): 77.09%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 22.91%. Para Magda Linette (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.37. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.08%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.880%G +0.027%2.9%2026-08-05 18:30
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.08%E +0.684%K +0.880%G +0.027%4.2%2026-08-05 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV +1.93%E +0.435%K +0.561%G +0.011%5.8%2026-08-05 18:30
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.789%E +0.179%K +0.232%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-05 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.789%E +0.179%K +0.232%G +0.002%8.2%2026-08-05 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.80%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.20%EV +0.331%E +0.076%K +0.098%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-05 16:45
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.92%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.08%EV -0.585%E -0.135%K -0.175%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 18:24
BoyleSports🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.814%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.814%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.814%E -0.188%K -0.245%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:40
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.50%E -0.349%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.65%E -0.623%K -0.814%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.65%E -0.623%K -0.814%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:40
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:44
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.79%E -0.903%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.71%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.71%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -4.94%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 18:24
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.72%E -5.55%K -31.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:30
GTbets🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.23%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.77%EV -6.77%E -1.66%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:09
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.44%EV -7.23%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.66%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.34%EV -7.46%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:25
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.66%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.34%EV -7.46%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:25
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:44
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 13:39
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:25
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:25
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 18:25
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 13:45
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 17:00
Neds🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -4.40%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 17:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-08-05 18:30
Matchbook◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-05 18:30
ProphetX◎1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-05 18:30
Novig◎1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46%2.4%2026-08-05 18:30