Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović v Magda Linette

2026-08-05 18:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Iva Jović (Local)

Predicción 75.60%1.32momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -8.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.22%75.54%75.63%77.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.90%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Magda Linette (Visitante)

Predicción 24.40%4.10momio equitativo
EV +0.032%
Ventaja +0.008%
Kelly +0.010%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.77%24.46%24.37%26.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.883.984.1028.57%25.76%25.13%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Iva Jović (Local): 75.60%; Magda Linette (Visitante): 24.40%. Para Magda Linette (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.099. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.100, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.032%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetAnything1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +0.032%E +0.008%K +0.010%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 16:15
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 77.23%EV -9.28%E -7.73%K -46.39%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.77%EV -0.700%E -0.172%K -0.228%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:09
DraftKings1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -2.16%E -0.540%K -0.719%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 10:45
Coolbet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 20:50
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 12:44
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 14:55
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:06
Dabble (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 22:35
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:04
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:05
Hard Rock Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 10:44
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 14:55
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:35
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 19:05
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 10:04
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 10:09
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.41%E -0.602%K -0.803%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV -2.90%E -0.728%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 15:04
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.81%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.19%EV -2.90%E -0.728%K -0.972%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 15:05
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -3.14%E -0.791%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 16:00
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.57%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.43%EV -3.38%E -0.854%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-04 15:20
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 20:49
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -4.36%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 15:58
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 09:55
Fanatics1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.74%E -3.76%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:50
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 18:44
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.07%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 10:05
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -6.56%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:16
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.39%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.61%EV -6.56%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:17
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 23:44
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Caesars1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -7.01%E -5.70%K -30.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 23:45
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.77%E -6.37%K -35.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 15:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.99%E -3.14%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 14:30
betfred_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 10:10
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 22:30
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:45
ReBet1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.25%E -5.04%K -26.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 15:05
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:50
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.47%E -1.92%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:50
betano_uk1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:10
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.50%E -4.40%K -21.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 15:13
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.61%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:29
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.23%E -2.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.61%E -4.17%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-04 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-04 23:55
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.3%2026-08-04 23:20
Smarkets1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-08-04 23:50
Novig1.28I 78.13%NM 75.38%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.62%3.6%2026-08-04 23:40