Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina v Amanda Anisimova

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 01:55 UTC

Final: Elina Svitolina 2–0 Amanda Anisimova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prediction 58.14%1.72fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.19%58.14%59.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.641.6764.52%61.23%60.98%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visit)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.913%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.10%41.81%41.86%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.4246.51%44.25%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 58.14%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 41.86%. For Amanda Anisimova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.30%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV +1.30%E +0.536%K +0.913%G +0.012%3.1%2026-08-09 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +0.459%E +0.191%K +0.328%G +0.002%3.8%2026-08-09 01:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -0.378%E -0.159%K -0.274%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 01:50
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.63%E -0.695%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 00:55
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -1.63%E -0.695%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -2.89%E -1.25%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 23:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -3.48%E -2.10%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 20:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 01:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.65%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 21:19
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:19
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:19
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 01:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 01:44
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 21:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 21:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 21:04
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 01:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.88%E -6.37%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 20:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.15%E -1.81%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 21:19
ReBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.56%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 23:15
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.40%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 01:50
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.40%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 01:50
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.39%E -3.97%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.40%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 01:49
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.40%E -2.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 21:19
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:05
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 16:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.65%E -2.83%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 20:59
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.23%E -3.21%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 20:59
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 21:19
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 01:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -6.66%E -2.99%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 01:50
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 07:25
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 01:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 00:35
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 16:15
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.81%E -3.59%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 23:30
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 20:53
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.97%E -4.36%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 20:55
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.72%E -5.55%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.91%E -3.60%K -6.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 01:48
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.01%E -4.65%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.90%E -1.74%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -10.01%E -4.65%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.01%E -4.65%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 15:05
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.07%E -2.46%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.01%E -4.65%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-09 01:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-09 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-09 01:50
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%0.8%2026-08-09 01:50
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-09 01:50
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 59.95%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.05%1.1%2026-08-09 01:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%2.3%2026-08-09 01:50