Language:English
Elena Gabriela Ruse v Peyton Stearns
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)
Prediction 45.16%2.21fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.709%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.53%45.24%45.24%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.072.102.1850.76%48.28%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Peyton Stearns (Visit)
Prediction 54.84%1.82fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.76%54.76%55.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.741.741.7859.52%57.49%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 45.16%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 54.84%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -1.55%E -0.709%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.03%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 06:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.90%E -1.35%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 05:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 15:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -4.25%E -2.01%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -4.71%E -2.23%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 08:43 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.03%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 11:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 17:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:53 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 01:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.13%E -2.97%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 06:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 01:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-03 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.23%E -3.64%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.16%E -2.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.06%E -2.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 05:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.03%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-03 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.51%E -3.15%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -7.87%E -4.69%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.03%E -2.31%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 14:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 14:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.68%E -3.30%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 01:58 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 13:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.42%E -3.62%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 01:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 20:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 12:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -2.39%E -1.34%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -8.77%E -4.34%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -3.49%E -1.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.94%E -1.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.78%E -3.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -9.67%E -4.84%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.33%E -4.33%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -11.03%E -5.60%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -4.58%E -2.63%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-03 04:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 17:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-03 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-08-03 17:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08% | 2.6% | 2026-08-03 17:54 |
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