Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Peyton Stearns

2026-08-02 22:10 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.42%46.37%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.032.022.1050.00%49.24%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Peyton Stearns (Visit)

Prediction 53.70%1.86fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.58%53.63%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.781.8057.80%56.27%56.18%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local): 46.30%; Peyton Stearns (Visit): 53.70%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.10, with an expected value of -2.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 23:49
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.77%E -1.32%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.95%E -2.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 20:17
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:14
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.88%E -2.17%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 01:14
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.62%E -2.24%K -4.36%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 20:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.49%E -3.12%K -7.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.44%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:14
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 20:15
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.34%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 23:49
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.56%E -3.77%K -8.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 20:15
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.40%E -3.70%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.10%E -4.10%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-08-02 01:50