Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Caty McNally v Alexandra Eala

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 00:45 UTC

Final: Caty McNally 1–2 Alexandra Eala

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Caty McNally (Local)

Prediction 31.57%3.17fair odd
EV +0.385%
Edge +0.121%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.32%31.63%31.51%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.972.953.1837.04%33.72%33.90%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexandra Eala (Visit)

Prediction 68.43%1.46fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%68.37%68.49%69.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.391.401.4474.63%71.89%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Caty McNally (Local): 31.57%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 68.43%. For Caty McNally (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.385%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV +0.385%E +0.121%K +0.177%G +0.001%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -3.51%E -2.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-08 00:21
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.562%E -0.178%K -0.261%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.82%E -0.587%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -1.82%E -0.587%K -0.865%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.14%E -0.690%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 00:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.14%E -0.690%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-07 19:50
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.14%E -0.690%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:25
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.14%E -0.690%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.25%E -4.56%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:51
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.14%E -0.690%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:50
SportsBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -2.77%E -0.900%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -8.30%E -6.19%K -24.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.72%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 07:05
BetUS🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.72%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:05
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.72%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 00:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.72%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:01
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -4.67%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.51%E -2.49%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 22:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 19:10
GTbets🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 05:24
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-07 10:47
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:56
ReBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 00:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 18:30
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 19:50
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 18:25
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 19:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 20:15
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.30%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.62%E -5.64%K -21.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 09:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -5.93%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -4.88%E -3.51%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 22:30
Betsson🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:50
NordicBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.56%E -2.22%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:51
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
betPARX🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Bally Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:51
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 10:50
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-07 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.88%E -2.33%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.62%E -5.64%K -21.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-06 06:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 05:19
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 05:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-07 22:30
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 05:25
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.45%E -2.92%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.56%E -4.03%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-06 13:23
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -9.09%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -1.46%E -1.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 19:55
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.09%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 04:49
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.09%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.09%E -3.15%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.93%E -5.10%K -19.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.40%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -9.40%E -3.28%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.19%E -3.00%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 22:30
Dabble (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -1.46%E -1.01%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 22:30
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.61%E -4.15%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.83%E -1.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.83%E -1.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 22:30
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.19%E -4.80%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.83%E -1.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 22:30
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.77%E -5.47%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -2.83%E -1.99%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-08-08 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-08-08 00:25
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%1.2%2026-08-08 00:25
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 30.54%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.46%1.4%2026-08-08 00:20
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%2.7%2026-08-08 00:25