Language:English
Alina Korneeva v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alina Korneeva (Local)
Prediction 25.42%3.93fair odd
EV +9.04%
Edge +2.11%
Kelly +2.75%
Growth +0.249%
assuming max odds 4.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.70%25.57%25.60%28.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.723.754.2931.25%26.86%26.67%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 74.58%1.34fair odd
EV -0.060%
Edge -0.045%
Kelly -0.177%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.11%74.43%74.40%77.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3481.97%78.79%78.74%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Korneeva (Local): 25.42%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 74.58%. For Alina Korneeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.29, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.70%EV +9.04%E +2.11%K +2.75%G +0.249% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.30%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.67%E +0.418%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.67%E +0.418%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.67%E +0.418%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.67%E +0.418%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.67%E +0.418%K +0.558%G +0.009% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.01%E -7.39%K -40.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +0.402%E +0.102%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -0.361%E -0.092%K -0.124%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -0.869%E -0.223%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-09 19:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -0.869%E -0.223%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-09 19:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -0.869%E -0.223%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.52%E -6.06%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 19:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.12%E -0.289%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -1.12%E -0.289%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -2.14%E -0.556%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 19:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 13:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.41%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.25%EV -3.67%E -0.967%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.75%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.68%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.95%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.22%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.02%EV -8.24%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.02%EV -8.24%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.98%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.79%E -2.94%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 19:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.28%E -4.16%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 19:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.49%E -2.36%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.77%E -5.42%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.77%E -2.75%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.52%E -6.06%K -31.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.04%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.54%E -3.54%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 19:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.45%EV -15.36%E -4.61%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.55%EV -6.03%E -4.78%K -23.18%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-09 19:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -0.060%E -0.045%K -0.177%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 19:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -16.12%E -4.88%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.66%E -5.83%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.04%E -2.34%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 1.7% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74% | 2.1% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40% | 2.9% | 2026-08-09 19:45 |