Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Korneeva v Coco Gauff

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Prediction 21.93%4.56fair odd
EV +4.17%
Edge +0.879%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.14%21.87%22.02%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.334.344.7525.32%23.07%23.04%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 78.07%1.28fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -13.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%78.13%77.98%79.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2486.21%83.14%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alina Korneeva (Local): 21.93%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 78.07%. For Alina Korneeva (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +4.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +4.17%E +0.879%K +1.11%G +0.046%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 02:25
FanDuel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +3.08%E +0.655%K +0.832%G +0.026%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 06:15
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +0.883%E +0.192%K +0.245%G +0.002%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -9.44%E -8.14%K -59.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 02:20
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 06:15
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 02:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 02:20
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:20
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:21
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.31%E -0.291%K -0.374%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 07:30
GTbets🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV -3.06%E -0.693%K -0.896%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 02:20
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 07:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 02:20
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 04:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 02:20
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 05:31
Betsson🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 21.66%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:20
NordicBet🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 21.66%EV -4.82%E -1.11%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 02:20
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 01:45
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 02:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 07:20
Dabble (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 06:10
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 04:45
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 02:20
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.19%E -2.58%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 06:20
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:05
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:06
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:05
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 06:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 02:20
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 04:50
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 07:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86%EV -8.99%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14%EV -3.98%E -3.23%K -17.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 06:14
LeoVegas🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -8.99%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 06:05
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -7.10%E -5.96%K -37.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 06:20
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 05:39
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.26%K -31.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 05:40
ReBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 02:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 06:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -13.37%E -3.39%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.00%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 02:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.66%7.7%2026-08-08 07:11
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%12.1%2026-08-08 07:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%12.1%2026-08-08 07:21
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%12.1%2026-08-08 02:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 72.87%13.4%2026-08-08 07:30