Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra v Qinwen Zheng

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 12:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Solana Sierra (Local)

Prediction 34.61%2.89fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -0.733%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.72%34.54%38.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.692.702.8541.67%37.13%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qinwen Zheng (Visit)

Prediction 65.39%1.53fair odd
EV -0.610%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.22%65.28%65.46%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5271.43%68.85%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Solana Sierra (Local): 34.61%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 65.39%. For Qinwen Zheng (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.52, with an expected value of -0.610%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.36%E -0.476%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-22 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.74%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-22 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -2.74%E -0.976%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-22 11:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.09%E -1.10%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 11:19
Coolbet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -3.78%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 11:29
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.67%EV -4.13%E -1.49%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.33%EV -3.88%E -2.64%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 11:29
ReBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 10:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 10:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 10:49
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:19
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:19
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:19
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 11:19
Everygame🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.82%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 11:19
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.86%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 11:40
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 11:20
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 10:49
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 10:49
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:30
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 10:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.55%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.46%E -6.04%K -21.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 10:49
SportsBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.04%EV -7.59%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.96%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 11:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.56%EV -7.59%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.44%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-22 11:19
BetAnything🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 11:09
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 11:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.28%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-22 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -8.63%E -3.27%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -2.57%E -1.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -8.97%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 11:00
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -8.97%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -8.97%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-22 11:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 11:29
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.32%E -3.56%K -5.75%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 11:00
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -1.26%E -0.837%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 11:10
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.01%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.06%K -13.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.61%EV -11.74%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.39%EV -7.80%E -5.53%K -19.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-22 10:49
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -16.93%E -7.06%K -12.09%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -0.610%E -0.401%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-22 11:50
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-22 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%0.7%2026-06-22 11:40
Novig2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%3.1%2026-06-22 11:40