Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.32
assuming max odds 1.38
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sinja Kraus (Local): 29.82%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 70.18%. For Sinja Kraus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.32, with an expected value of -0.987%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -0.987%E -0.297%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.58%E -0.480%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 09:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.58%E -0.480%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 09:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -1.88%E -0.572%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.60%EV -3.86%E -2.82%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-22 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -3.07%E -0.946%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.86%E -2.82%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.07%E -0.946%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.07%E -0.946%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 10:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.96%E -4.45%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.96%E -4.45%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-22 09:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -5.16%E -1.62%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -5.46%E -1.72%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-22 10:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 10:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.06%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -6.36%E -2.02%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.25%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.86%E -2.82%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -7.55%E -2.43%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.56%E -3.35%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -5.96%E -4.45%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 09:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 09:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.53%E -3.51%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.66%E -5.01%K -20.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.51%E -4.66%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.16%E -2.29%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 09:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 0.1% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 0.1% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.86% | 0.1% | 2026-06-22 10:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40% | 1.5% | 2026-06-22 10:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-06-22 10:50 |