Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng v Clara Tauson

Início: 2026-06-24 11:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Previsão 54.53%1.83odd justa
EV -0.752%
Vantagem -0.413%
Kelly -0.918%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.41%54.64%55.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.8259.88%57.86%57.80%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Previsão 45.47%2.20odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.04%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.30%45.59%45.36%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.092.102.1551.28%47.87%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 54.53%; Clara Tauson (Visitante): 45.47%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.83. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.82, com valor esperado de -0.752%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 10:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 10:40
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 10:36
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 10:30
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 10:39
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 10:40
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 10:40
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:39
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 10:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 10:40
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 10:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.30%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.30%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-24 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 10:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 10:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-24 10:39