Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Qinwen Zheng v Clara Tauson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-24 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prévision 54.53%1.83cote équitable
EV -0.752%
Avantage -0.413%
Kelly -0.918%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.41%54.64%55.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.8259.88%57.86%57.80%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Clara Tauson (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.47%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.59%45.36%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.092.102.1551.28%47.87%47.62%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Qinwen Zheng (Local) : 54.53% ; Clara Tauson (Visiteur) : 45.47%. Pour Qinwen Zheng (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.83. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.82, pour une espérance de -0.752% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -0.752%E -0.413%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-24 10:40
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.84%E -1.02%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.93%E -1.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 10:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 10:40
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 10:36
BetAnything🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.48%E -1.97%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-24 10:30
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.02%E -2.29%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 10:39
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.57%E -2.61%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.34%E -5.81%K -11.93%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 10:40
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.11%E -2.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 10:40
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-24 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.79%E -3.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 10:40
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.66%E -3.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 10:40
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -3.61%E -1.70%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:39
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 10:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.21%E -3.61%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -8.15%E -4.04%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-24 10:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.24%E -1.04%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.70%E -1.26%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 10:39
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 10:40
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.75%E -3.95%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 10:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.30%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 10:40
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.30%E -4.29%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.06%E -4.53%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-24 10:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 10:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.39%E -4.99%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 10:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.52%E -2.15%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-24 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -8.93%E -5.35%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -5.43%E -2.61%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 10:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%1.8%2026-06-24 10:40
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-06-24 10:39