Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.63
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zhizhen Zhang (Local): 59.97%; Henry Searle (Visit): 40.03%. For Henry Searle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.45, with an expected value of -1.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.25%E -1.38%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-22 15:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.85%E -1.76%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.53%E -2.34%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-22 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -8.73%E -3.83%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.05%EV -4.65%E -2.92%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.95%EV -11.93%E -5.42%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.85%E -3.73%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.93%E -4.41%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 12:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.92%E -0.785%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-22 14:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.05%E -4.55%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.93%E -3.45%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.65%E -4.97%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.73%E -1.99%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -8.25%E -5.39%K -15.56%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -6.73%E -2.89%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -10.65%E -7.15%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -3.93%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79% | 1.4% | 2026-06-22 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 1.6% | 2026-06-22 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-06-22 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 15:49 |