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Vitaliy Sachko v Shintaro Mochizuki
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vitaliy Sachko (Local)
assuming max odds 3.40
Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vitaliy Sachko (Local): 29.23%; Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit): 70.77%. For Vitaliy Sachko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.609%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.609%E -0.179%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.00%E -6.16%K -26.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -0.609%E -0.179%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -8.71%E -6.75%K -30.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.71%EV -2.36%E -0.707%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.29%EV -9.42%E -7.36%K -33.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -3.24%E -0.979%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.76%E -2.76%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-22 12:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.53%E -1.07%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.88%E -4.42%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.99%E -1.54%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.76%E -2.76%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.07%EV -5.87%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.93%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-22 12:21 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.92%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.59%E -4.99%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.38%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.88%E -4.42%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-22 12:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.84%E -3.55%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -7.29%E -5.57%K -23.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-22 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.30%E -4.10%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.88%E -4.42%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-22 12:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-22 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-22 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04% | 5.0% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |