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Vilius Gaubas v Henry Searle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Vilius Gaubas (Local)
assuming max odds 3.73
Henry Searle (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.34
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vilius Gaubas (Local): 26.93%; Henry Searle (Visit): 73.07%. For Vilius Gaubas (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.434%.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.84%EV +0.434%E +0.116%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.16%EV -5.00%E -3.85%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -4.41%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.00%E -3.85%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.56%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.44%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.52%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.48%EV -2.08%E -1.55%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-23 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.00%E -3.85%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.76%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-23 17:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.37%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.88%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-24 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.73%E -4.45%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.45%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -9.39%E -7.57%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-24 06:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.59%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.41%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-23 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.80%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.81%E -2.11%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -11.14%E -3.38%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-24 15:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.73%E -4.45%K -19.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-23 15:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.49%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -7.93%E -6.29%K -30.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-24 14:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76% | 2.9% | 2026-06-24 15:40 |