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Tristan Boyer v Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tristan Boyer (Local)
assuming max odds 1.18
Genaro Alberto Olivieri (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tristan Boyer (Local): 81.46%; Genaro Alberto Olivieri (Visit): 18.54%. For Genaro Alberto Olivieri (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.39. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.94%EV -10.39%E -9.45%K -103.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +6.60%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.092% | 8.3% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.65%EV -3.88%E -3.28%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.35%EV -2.67%E -0.508%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-22 11:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.85%EV -8.76%E -7.82%K -73.03%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.15%EV -6.38%E -1.26%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.32%E -5.50%K -42.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.30%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 13:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.32%E -5.50%K -42.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.30%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-22 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.13%E -6.26%K -50.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.30%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-21 21:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.13%E -6.26%K -50.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.30%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-22 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -5.51%E -4.75%K -34.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -9.16%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.13%E -6.26%K -50.96%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -9.16%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-22 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -3.88%E -3.28%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -10.09%E -2.08%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-22 12:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -4.69%E -4.01%K -27.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -11.94%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.2% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.18% | 1.9% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62% | 3.3% | 2026-06-22 13:49 |