Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.05
assuming max odds 1.43
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Timofey Skatov (Local): 32.16%; Kyrian Jacquet (Visit): 67.84%. For Timofey Skatov (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.91%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.91%E -0.625%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.42%E -6.24%K -24.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 11:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.03%E -3.59%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-24 23:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.12%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.99%E -2.09%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-25 08:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.12%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.35%E -3.08%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.12%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.38%E -4.63%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.17%EV -6.41%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.83%EV -6.38%E -4.63%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-25 06:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.03%E -3.59%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.38%E -4.63%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.74%E -5.69%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-24 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.74%E -5.69%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 04:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.95%E -3.55%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.38%E -4.63%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 10:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -9.95%E -3.55%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -7.06%E -5.15%K -19.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 2.3% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82% | 2.5% | 2026-06-25 11:50 |