The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Stefano Travaglia v Luka Mikrut

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stefano Travaglia (Local)

Prediction 65.54%1.53fair odd
EV -0.386%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.742%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.42%65.54%67.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.431.401.5272.99%69.98%71.43%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luka Mikrut (Visit)

Prediction 34.46%2.90fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.85%34.58%34.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.712.702.8539.22%36.90%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stefano Travaglia (Local): 65.54%; Luka Mikrut (Visit): 34.46%. For Stefano Travaglia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.52, with an expected value of -0.386%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -0.386%E -0.254%K -0.742%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -8.67%E -3.27%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-22 13:10
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.70%E -1.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -12.12%E -4.75%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 13:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.97%E -3.43%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.39%E -4.00%K -6.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 13:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.63%E -3.91%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 13:49
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.25%E -5.89%K -20.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.78%E -0.623%K -0.960%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.25%E -5.89%K -20.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.22%E -1.90%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 13:49
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.25%E -5.89%K -20.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.95%E -2.57%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-22 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.91%EV -9.56%E -6.93%K -25.16%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.09%EV -3.84%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 13:49
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.22%E -7.46%K -27.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.50%E -1.25%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%3.2%2026-06-22 13:49
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-06-22 13:49