The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Soonwoo Kwon v Arthur Gea

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Soonwoo Kwon (Local)

Prediction 69.39%1.44fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.14%69.46%69.39%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.4076.92%73.94%73.80%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Gea (Visit)

Prediction 30.61%3.27fair odd
EV -0.525%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.233%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%30.54%30.61%32.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.063.083.2535.46%32.69%32.52%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Soonwoo Kwon (Local): 69.39%; Arthur Gea (Visit): 30.61%. For Arthur Gea (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.25, with an expected value of -0.525%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -2.85%E -2.04%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -6.65%E -2.18%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.14%EV -4.24%E -3.07%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.86%EV -13.69%E -4.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-24 15:50
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.525%E -0.162%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 15:48
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.63%E -4.14%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.18%E -2.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-24 15:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.32%E -4.68%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 15:49
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.01%E -5.23%K -20.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.71%E -3.29%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.71%E -5.80%K -23.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.12%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-24 15:49
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -9.79%E -7.53%K -32.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.06%E -0.642%K -0.934%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-24 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-06-24 15:50
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%3.8%2026-06-24 15:50