La scuola delle quote

Shintaro Mochizuki v Ethan Quinn

Inizio: 2026-07-01 14:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shintaro Mochizuki (Casa)

Previsione 29.12%3.43quota equa
EV +4.83%
Vantaggio +1.34%
Kelly +1.86%
Crescita +0.090%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.13%29.10%29.04%31.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.943.253.253.6034.01%30.81%30.77%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ethan Quinn (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.88%1.41quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.06%70.90%70.96%72.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.67%74.63%72.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV +4.83%E +1.34%K +1.86%G +0.090%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 14:30
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV +3.67%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-01 14:30
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.15%E -5.46%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.86%E -6.04%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.86%E -6.04%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:30
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 14:30
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:30
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 14:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:30
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:30
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.15%E -5.46%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 14:30
DraftKings3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:30
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:29
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:29
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 14:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Betsson3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.40%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
MyBookie.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 14:29
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 14:29
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 14:30
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -9.44%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:30
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:29
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.86%E -6.04%K -26.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 14:30
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 14:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 14:29
NordicBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -14.39%E -4.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%3.2%2026-07-01 14:30