L’École des cotes

Shintaro Mochizuki v Ethan Quinn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 14:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shintaro Mochizuki (Local)

Prévision 29.12%3.43cote équitable
EV +4.83%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +1.86%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.13%29.10%29.04%31.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.943.253.253.6034.01%30.81%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ethan Quinn (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.88%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -5.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.06%70.90%70.96%72.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.67%74.63%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%EV +4.83%E +1.34%K +1.86%G +0.090%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.77%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 14:30
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 27.49%EV +3.67%E +1.03%K +1.43%G +0.053%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.51%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-01 14:30
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.15%E -5.46%K -23.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.86%E -6.04%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.991%E -0.292%K -0.413%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.86%E -6.04%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:30
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 14:30
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.45%E -0.730%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:30
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 14:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:30
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 14:30
NetBet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.90%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.15%E -5.46%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 14:30
DraftKings3.29I 30.40%NM 28.79%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.21%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:30
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 14:30
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:29
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.36%E -1.65%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 14:30
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Bally Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:29
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.02%E -3.75%K -14.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 14:30
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.82%E -2.13%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Betsson3.19I 31.35%NM 29.42%EV -7.11%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.58%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -7.40%E -2.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-01 14:30
MyBookie.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 14:29
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 14:29
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -8.27%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.44%E -4.88%K -20.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 14:30
GTbets3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -9.44%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 14:30
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 14:30
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:30
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.31%E -3.19%K -12.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-01 14:29
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.73%E -3.14%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -7.86%E -6.04%K -26.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-01 14:30
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.60%E -2.65%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 14:29
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.64%E -4.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.73%E -4.31%K -17.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-01 14:29
NordicBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -14.39%E -4.89%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -2.19%E -1.58%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-01 14:30
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-07-01 14:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-07-01 14:30
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.14%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.86%3.2%2026-07-01 14:30