Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 5.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Roman Safiullin (Local): 81.17%; Kimmer Coppejans (Visit): 18.83%. For Kimmer Coppejans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.33%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -9.09%E -8.12%K -75.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV +7.33%E +1.29%K +1.56%G +0.114% | 6.8% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.12%EV -8.28%E -7.33%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 17.88%EV -2.27%E -0.438%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.22%E -3.58%K -23.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-24 14:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.47%E -6.55%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.47%E -6.55%K -53.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -8.28%E -7.33%K -63.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -7.73%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -5.84%E -5.04%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.61%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 14:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.84%E -5.04%K -36.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -10.56%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-24 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -2.60%E -2.16%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-24 14:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -5.03%E -4.30%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -20.91%E -4.98%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-24 14:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-06-24 14:20 |