The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Tristan Boyer

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local)

Prediction 55.57%1.80fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.52%55.53%55.41%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.691.691.7561.35%59.26%59.00%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tristan Boyer (Visit)

Prediction 44.43%2.25fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.47%44.59%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.132.2050.00%47.28%47.06%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Local): 55.57%; Tristan Boyer (Visit): 44.43%. For Tristan Boyer (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.76%E -1.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.91%E -2.30%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-25 10:00
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.98%E -2.91%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-25 10:00
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 03:50
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.25%E -1.02%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-25 05:00
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.26%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.53%EV -6.09%E -3.60%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.47%EV -6.25%E -2.96%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 04:59
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.20%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.47%E -2.08%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 05:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.20%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.69%E -3.19%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 03:47
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.20%E -4.31%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -7.58%E -3.64%K -7.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 05:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.31%E -5.04%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.91%E -4.35%K -8.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-25 09:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.43%E -5.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.13%E -5.57%K -11.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-25 09:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-25 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-06-25 10:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-06-25 09:10
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-06-25 09:50
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-06-25 09:10