Language:English
Otto Virtanen v Ben Shelton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Otto Virtanen (Local)
Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV +3.57%
Edge +0.752%
Kelly +0.952%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.17%21.88%21.88%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.294.254.7526.32%23.33%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visit)
Prediction 78.20%1.28fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -9.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.25%78.12%78.12%79.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.221.2584.03%82.28%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Otto Virtanen (Local): 21.80%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 78.20%. For Otto Virtanen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +3.57%E +0.752%K +0.952%G +0.034% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +3.57%E +0.752%K +0.952%G +0.034% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.85%EV +1.83%E +0.391%K +0.498%G +0.009% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.15%EV -3.82%E -3.11%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.301%E +0.065%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.301%E +0.065%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -1.01%E -0.222%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.38%E -4.45%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.82%E -3.11%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.88%E -0.418%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.06%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.06%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.06%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.06%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.06%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -4.06%E -0.923%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.95%E -5.84%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.15%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.59%E -1.29%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.82%E -3.11%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.45%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.38%E -4.45%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.24%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86%EV -6.46%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 21.86%EV -6.46%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.14%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.33%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.38%E -4.45%K -25.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.42%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.42%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.42%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.42%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.42%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.42%E -2.00%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.91%EV -9.73%E -2.35%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.09%EV -3.82%E -3.11%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -10.60%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.60%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.60%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.60%E -2.59%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -6.95%E -5.84%K -36.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.26%E -1.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.60%E -3.77%K -20.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.78%E -3.20%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.17%E -5.14%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 11:14 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -16.05%E -4.17%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -3.04%E -2.45%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -17.14%E -4.51%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -2.26%E -1.80%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 20.16% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.84% | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93% | 1.7% | 2026-06-30 11:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.92% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.08% | 2.8% | 2026-06-30 11:18 |