The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Oliver Tarvet v Alex Bolt

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Oliver Tarvet (Local)

Prediction 50.22%1.99fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%50.38%50.00%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.841.871.9357.80%54.21%53.48%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex Bolt (Visit)

Prediction 49.78%2.01fair odd
EV -0.448%
Edge -0.224%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%49.62%50.00%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.872.0055.56%53.17%53.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oliver Tarvet (Local): 50.22%; Alex Bolt (Visit): 49.78%. For Alex Bolt (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.448%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -3.07%E -1.59%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -9.41%E -5.17%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 10:19
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-22 11:46
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.07%E -2.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.57%E -2.41%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.08%E -3.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 10:09
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.83%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.09%E -4.42%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 11:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -12.11%E -6.92%K -16.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -2.94%E -1.51%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-22 11:47
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -12.61%E -7.25%K -17.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -4.93%E -2.58%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-22 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -13.11%E -7.58%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -0.448%E -0.224%K -0.448%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 11:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-06-22 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-06-22 11:50
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%5.0%2026-06-22 11:49