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Nicolas Mejia v Tristan Schoolkate
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nicolas Mejia (Local)
assuming max odds 3.71
Tristan Schoolkate (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicolas Mejia (Local): 30.94%; Tristan Schoolkate (Visit): 69.06%. For Nicolas Mejia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV +14.79%E +3.99%K +5.46%G +0.808% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -9.53%E -7.28%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +11.39%E +3.16%K +4.38%G +0.499% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -10.22%E -7.86%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.16%EV +9.53%E +2.69%K +3.75%G +0.358% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.84%EV -8.84%E -6.70%K -27.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV +3.65%E +1.09%K +1.56%G +0.057% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.83%EV -13.68%E -10.94%K -54.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-25 10:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.11%E +0.639%K +0.916%G +0.019% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.15%E -6.13%K -24.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.986%E -0.308%K -0.448%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.22%E -7.86%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-25 10:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.53%E -0.804%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.77%E -5.02%K -19.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-25 10:28 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.32%E -2.37%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-25 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -11.51%E -4.02%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -3.32%E -2.37%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -11.82%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.32%E -2.37%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-25 10:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -4.70%E -3.41%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -19.55%E -7.52%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +3.59%E +2.39%K +7.17%G +0.257% | 5.1% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 1.7% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.57% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43% | 3.7% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 10:30 |