The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Mackenzie McDonald v Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mackenzie McDonald (Local)

Prediction 93.31%1.07fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.84%
Kelly -73.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.61%93.40%93.57%94.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.85%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (Visit)

Prediction 6.69%14.95fair odd
EV +15.79%
Edge +0.912%
Kelly +0.968%
Growth +0.153%

assuming max odds 17.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.62%6.60%6.43%9.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.7513.4713.4317.3110.26%7.43%7.45%5.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mackenzie McDonald (Local): 93.31%; Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (Visit): 6.69%. For Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.95. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 17.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.38%EV -3.89%E -3.78%K -129.66%G +0.000%17.31I 5.78%NM 5.62%EV +15.79%E +0.912%K +0.968%G +0.153%2.9%2026-06-22 16:30
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.89%E -3.78%K -129.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +0.339%E +0.023%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 16:09
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.82%E -4.73%K -241.15%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +0.339%E +0.023%K +0.024%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 16:27
ReBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.82%E -4.73%K -241.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -6.35%E -0.454%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 16:00
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.14%EV -4.82%E -4.73%K -241.15%G +0.000%13.85I 7.22%NM 6.86%EV -7.35%E -0.531%K -0.572%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 16:09
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -2.96%E -2.84%K -73.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -13.04%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 16:29
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.82%E -4.73%K -241.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -13.04%E -1.00%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.66%EV -5.76%E -5.70%K -575.62%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.34%EV -14.71%E -1.15%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.82%E -4.73%K -241.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -26.42%E -2.40%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.61%EV -5.76%E -5.70%K -575.62%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.39%EV -34.78%E -3.57%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-22 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-06-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-06-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-06-22 16:30
Smarkets◎1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%4.3%2026-06-22 16:30