Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 1.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mackenzie McDonald (Local): 40.01%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 59.99%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.39%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -7.59%E -3.28%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV +1.39%E +0.823%K +2.01%G +0.028% | 2.5% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -11.99%E -5.45%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.01%E -0.612%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-25 10:07 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.99%E -6.51%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.01%E -0.612%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -9.19%E -4.05%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -1.61%E -0.981%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.21%E -1.36%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -15.99%E -7.61%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -6.41%E -4.11%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-25 09:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.015%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.01%E -4.52%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -13.19%E -6.08%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.33%EV -7.01%E -4.52%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-25 10:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.21%E -5.37%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.64%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.36%EV -8.21%E -5.37%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-25 10:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -9.41%E -6.23%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +0.015%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -10.01%E -6.67%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68% | 1.7% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.2% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51% | 4.1% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 10:10 |