Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laslo Djere v Michael Zheng

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Laslo Djere (Local)

Prediction 44.94%2.22fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.934%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.59%44.84%44.85%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.102.092.2048.78%47.70%47.85%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Michael Zheng (Visit)

Prediction 55.06%1.82fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -5.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.16%55.15%56.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7459.88%58.60%58.48%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Laslo Djere (Local): 44.94%; Michael Zheng (Visit): 55.06%. For Laslo Djere (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.12%E -0.510%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 11:40
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -2.47%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -4.20%E -2.42%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-24 11:20
ReBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.72%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 10:39
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.31%E -3.08%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.62%E -2.67%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-23 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -6.07%E -2.90%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 11:10
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.12%EV -6.51%E -3.13%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.88%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 05:09
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.75%E -2.75%K -6.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-24 05:09
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.86%E -3.42%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-24 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.96%E -4.12%K -10.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-24 05:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.86%E -3.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-24 11:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-06-24 11:20
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.1%2026-06-24 11:40