Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Billy Harris
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 72.74%1.37fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -9.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%72.81%72.92%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.27%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Billy Harris (Visit)
Prediction 27.26%3.67fair odd
EV +3.60%
Edge +0.949%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%27.19%27.08%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.513.8031.25%28.42%28.49%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 72.74%; Billy Harris (Visit): 27.26%. For Billy Harris (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +3.60%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -7.63%E -6.00%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +3.60%E +0.949%K +1.29%G +0.046% | 5.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.08%E -7.26%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.24%E +0.598%K +0.815%G +0.018% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.08%E -7.26%K -36.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.24%E +0.598%K +0.815%G +0.018% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +1.97%E +0.526%K +0.718%G +0.014% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.878%E +0.237%K +0.325%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV +0.878%E +0.237%K +0.325%G +0.003% | 4.0% | 2026-06-30 13:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV +0.878%E +0.237%K +0.325%G +0.003% | 4.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.65%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.35%EV +0.605%E +0.164%K +0.225%G +0.001% | 2.9% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -0.485%E -0.133%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.63%E -6.00%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.485%E -0.133%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.85%E -0.513%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-30 13:28 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.85%E -0.513%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -1.85%E -0.513%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.21%E -0.905%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.97%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.03%EV -4.30%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.26%E -2.45%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -7.63%E -6.00%K -28.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.57%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.94%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.44%E -4.19%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.30%E -2.15%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.99%E -3.02%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.66%E -2.59%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -9.48%E -2.86%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.71%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.29%EV -9.48%E -2.86%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.72%E -3.60%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.03%E -3.04%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.17%E -4.78%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -11.39%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 13:17 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.90%E -5.39%K -24.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -12.75%E -3.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-30 13:22 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-30 13:29 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.54% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46% | 3.8% | 2026-06-30 13:30 |