The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Juan Carlos Prado Angelo v Daniel Evans

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (Local)

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV +1.96%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +0.652%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.57%25.49%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.544.0029.41%27.59%28.25%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Evans (Visit)

Prediction 74.51%1.34fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -13.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%74.43%74.51%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.261.261.2981.30%79.24%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (Local): 25.49%; Daniel Evans (Visit): 74.51%. For Juan Carlos Prado Angelo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.96%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.96%E +0.489%K +0.652%G +0.013%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.45%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 11:39
Pinnacle🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.66%EV -0.337%E -0.086%K -0.116%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.34%EV -4.63%E -3.61%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 10:40
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.69%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.63%E -3.61%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 10:29
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -6.96%E -1.91%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -8.35%E -6.79%K -36.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 11:49
NordicBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -8.75%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -5.37%E -4.23%K -19.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 11:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.12%E -4.85%K -23.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 10:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -6.12%E -4.85%K -23.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 10:28
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 10:19
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.79%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.86%E -5.49%K -27.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-22 10:29
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.34%E -3.92%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.88%E -3.01%K -13.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 07:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-22 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-06-22 11:50
Smarkets◎3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%3.8%2026-06-22 11:30