The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jerome Kym v Gonzalo Bueno

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jerome Kym (Local)

Prediction 55.26%1.81fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.03%55.75%55.26%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.691.7863.69%59.42%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gonzalo Bueno (Visit)

Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd
EV +2.90%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%44.25%44.74%46.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.052.3050.00%48.11%48.78%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jerome Kym (Local): 55.26%; Gonzalo Bueno (Visit): 44.74%. For Gonzalo Bueno (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -13.24%E -8.43%K -23.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.90%E +1.26%K +2.23%G +0.065%7.2%2026-06-22 13:49
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.82%E -5.35%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 13:49
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.50%E -3.22%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-22 13:39
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.82%E -5.35%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.28%E -4.04%K -7.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-22 13:49
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.61%E -3.91%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -8.73%E -4.28%K -8.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 13:39
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -1.64%E -0.919%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -10.07%E -5.01%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.40%E -2.54%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.52%E -5.26%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 13:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-22 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-22 13:49
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-06-22 13:49