A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Nuno Borges

Início: 2026-07-01 12:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 94.09%1.06odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -2.06%
Kelly -53.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.44%94.13%94.34%96.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.54%99.01%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nuno Borges (Visitante)

Previsão 5.91%16.93odd justa
EV +65.35%
Vantagem +2.33%
Kelly +2.42%
Crescimento +1.58%

pressupondo odds máximas de 28.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.48%5.87%5.66%8.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
11.0017.4917.0028.009.09%5.72%5.88%3.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +65.35%E +2.33%K +2.42%G +1.58%2.6%2026-07-01 12:40
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.54%E +2.06%K +2.14%G +1.15%2.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.54%E +2.06%K +2.14%G +1.15%2.9%2026-07-01 12:40
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.54%E +2.06%K +2.14%G +1.15%2.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV +38.78%E +1.65%K +1.72%G +0.668%3.3%2026-07-01 12:39
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +18.11%E +0.905%K +0.953%G +0.173%3.0%2026-07-01 12:40
PlayUp1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%3.3%2026-07-01 12:30
Dabble (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%3.3%2026-07-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%3.3%2026-07-01 12:40
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%4.3%2026-07-01 12:20
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.91%E -5.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%5.3%2026-07-01 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +6.30%E +0.350%K +0.371%G +0.023%3.6%2026-07-01 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.30%E +0.350%K +0.371%G +0.023%4.6%2026-07-01 12:40
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:40
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 03:50
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:40
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 20:00
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 20:00
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 20:00
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.91%E -5.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 07:39
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.03%EV -2.14%E -2.06%K -53.54%G +0.000%16.37I 6.11%NM 5.97%EV -3.33%E -0.203%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -5.51%E -0.345%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 06:59
ReBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -5.51%E -0.345%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:30
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -8.46%E -0.546%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 12:20
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV -8.76%E -0.567%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 07:59
betfred_uk1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
Sky Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:38
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:39
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -14.37%E -0.991%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:39
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -14.37%E -0.991%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -15.85%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.32%E -1.24%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.32%E -1.24%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:40
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -20.28%E -1.50%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:40
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.23%E -1.79%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.23%E -1.79%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 21:21
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.23%E -1.79%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 21:20
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -29.13%E -2.43%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:40
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.08%E -2.99%K -102.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -35.04%E -3.19%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -35.04%E -3.19%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 12:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-07-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 96.40%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.60%2.7%2026-07-01 12:40
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%3.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 94.79%18.18I 5.50%NM 5.21%5.5%2026-07-01 12:40