L’École des cotes

Jannik Sinner v Nuno Borges

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-01 12:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prévision 94.09%1.06cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -2.06%
Kelly -53.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
91.44%94.13%94.34%96.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.54%99.01%96.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Nuno Borges (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.91%16.93cote équitable
EV +65.35%
Avantage +2.33%
Kelly +2.42%
Croissance +1.58%

avec la cote maximale 28.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
3.48%5.87%5.66%8.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
11.0017.4917.0028.009.09%5.72%5.88%3.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.01I 99.01%NM 96.52%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.48%EV +65.35%E +2.33%K +2.42%G +1.58%2.6%2026-07-01 12:40
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.54%E +2.06%K +2.14%G +1.15%2.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.54%E +2.06%K +2.14%G +1.15%2.9%2026-07-01 12:40
BoyleSports1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +53.54%E +2.06%K +2.14%G +1.15%2.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.88%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.50I 4.26%NM 4.12%EV +38.78%E +1.65%K +1.72%G +0.668%3.3%2026-07-01 12:39
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Casumo1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Unibet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Svenska Spel1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
betPARX1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +35.83%E +1.56%K +1.63%G +0.583%3.4%2026-07-01 12:40
Betclic (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +18.11%E +0.905%K +0.953%G +0.173%3.0%2026-07-01 12:40
PlayUp1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%3.3%2026-07-01 12:30
Dabble (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%3.3%2026-07-01 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%3.3%2026-07-01 12:40
SportsBet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%4.3%2026-07-01 12:20
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.91%E -5.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +12.20%E +0.642%K +0.678%G +0.083%5.3%2026-07-01 12:40
Unibet (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +6.30%E +0.350%K +0.371%G +0.023%3.6%2026-07-01 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.30%E +0.350%K +0.371%G +0.023%4.6%2026-07-01 12:40
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
TABtouch1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
BetRivers1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
Bally Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
Coral1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:40
William Hill1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 03:50
Virgin Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 11:40
LiveScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-01 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:40
888sport1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 20:00
Betway1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Mr Green (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 20:00
888sport (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 20:00
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Marathon Bet1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -5.91%E -5.91%K +0.000%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +0.393%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 07:39
Pinnacle1.04I 96.15%NM 94.03%EV -2.14%E -2.06%K -53.54%G +0.000%16.37I 6.11%NM 5.97%EV -3.33%E -0.203%K -0.216%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 12:00
Codere (IT)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -5.51%E -0.345%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 06:59
ReBet1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -5.51%E -0.345%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 10:30
1xBet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.83%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.17%EV -8.46%E -0.546%K -0.584%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 12:20
BetAnything1.02I 98.04%NM 93.81%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.45I 6.47%NM 6.19%EV -8.76%E -0.567%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-01 09:50
Unibet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 07:59
betfred_uk1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 11:50
Paddy Power1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
PointsBet (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
Sky Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:38
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.42%E -0.761%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:39
MyBookie.ag1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -14.37%E -0.991%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:39
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -14.37%E -0.991%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Betr (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -15.85%E -1.11%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.32%E -1.24%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 11:20
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -17.32%E -1.24%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:40
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -20.28%E -1.50%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:40
FanDuel1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.23%E -1.79%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.23%E -1.79%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 21:21
Neds1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -23.23%E -1.79%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 21:20
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.96%E -4.92%K -496.45%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -29.13%E -2.43%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-01 12:40
Everygame1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.08%E -2.99%K -102.76%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -35.04%E -3.19%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -4.02%E -3.94%K -201.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -35.04%E -3.19%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51%0.7%2026-07-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Matchbook1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 96.40%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.60%2.7%2026-07-01 12:40
ProphetX1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%3.9%2026-07-01 12:40
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 94.79%18.18I 5.50%NM 5.21%5.5%2026-07-01 12:40