The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jaime Faria v Rei Sakamoto

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prediction 63.11%1.58fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%63.31%63.11%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.491.5269.44%67.16%67.11%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rei Sakamoto (Visit)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd
EV -0.040%
Edge -0.015%
Kelly -0.023%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.48%36.69%36.89%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.552.502.7140.32%39.23%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 63.11%; Rei Sakamoto (Visit): 36.89%. For Rei Sakamoto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.711. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.710, with an expected value of -0.040%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.07%E -2.68%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-25 11:50
ReBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 11:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.10%E -1.58%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 04:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.33%E -3.55%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-25 04:50
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -0.040%E -0.015%K -0.023%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 10:10
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.96%E -4.00%K -12.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -5.94%E -2.33%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-25 11:50
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-25 07:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -6.59%E -4.45%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.52%E -3.44%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-25 07:59
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.12%E -6.33%K -20.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.79%E -3.11%K -5.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-25 07:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-25 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-25 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-06-25 11:50
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-06-25 11:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-25 11:50