The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jaime Faria v Luka Pavlovic

Kickoff: 2026-06-24 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaime Faria (Local)

Prediction 94.04%1.06fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +19.56%
Growth +0.306%

assuming max odds 1.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.93%93.63%94.04%95.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.011.0899.01%97.36%99.01%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Luka Pavlovic (Visit)

Prediction 5.96%16.78fair odd
EV +25.12%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.316%

assuming max odds 21.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.63%6.37%5.96%12.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.6513.8815.0021.0013.07%7.21%6.67%4.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaime Faria (Local): 94.04%; Luka Pavlovic (Visit): 5.96%. For Luka Pavlovic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 21.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.12%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.08%E -4.00%K -203.87%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +25.12%E +1.20%K +1.26%G +0.316%2.8%2026-06-24 15:40
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.02%E -4.97%K -501.79%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +1.29%E +0.076%K +0.081%G +0.001%4.9%2026-06-24 15:28
Paddy Power🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.02%E -4.97%K -501.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -10.63%E -0.708%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.02%E -4.97%K -501.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -10.63%E -0.708%K -0.759%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-24 15:28
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 91.05%EV +1.57%E +1.45%K +19.56%G +0.306%10.99I 9.10%NM 8.95%EV -34.52%E -3.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.7%2026-06-24 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -5.02%E -4.97%K -501.79%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -37.44%E -3.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-24 15:40
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.93%EV -1.26%E -1.20%K -25.12%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.07%EV -54.42%E -7.11%K -8.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-24 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.33%0.5%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.19%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.81%0.9%2026-06-24 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.04%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96%1.1%2026-06-24 15:50
Smarkets◎1.03I 97.09%NM 95.71%22.99I 4.35%NM 4.29%1.4%2026-06-24 15:50